Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.432880 0.492949 0.557088 0.630530 0.712151 0.799931 0.901327
2025-11-02 0.330895 0.412174 0.505593 0.620309 0.756739 0.913135 1.105275
2025-11-09 0.259486 0.351567 0.464863 0.613077 0.800253 1.027050 1.320707
2025-11-16 0.208705 0.306014 0.433558 0.610308 0.845810 1.145376 1.551249
2025-11-23 0.168384 0.266253 0.402422 0.601474 0.879963 1.249987 1.771829
2025-11-30 0.143002 0.242339 0.388242 0.611932 0.938600 1.389328 2.047166
2025-12-07 0.118493 0.215054 0.364600 0.604645 0.969769 1.491700 2.278081
2025-12-14 0.101243 0.195939 0.349984 0.607842 1.014722 1.614966 2.545074
2025-12-21 0.084963 0.175369 0.329784 0.599085 1.039356 1.708718 2.773855
2025-12-28 0.076855 0.167731 0.329573 0.621800 1.113939 1.881066 3.128726
2026-01-04 0.069538 0.160205 0.328300 0.642009 1.185287 2.052090 3.490695
2026-01-11 0.061108 0.148934 0.318643 0.646194 1.229642 2.182471 3.795964
2026-01-18 0.053228 0.137538 0.307539 0.647066 1.269229 2.309186 4.105679
2026-01-25 0.046357 0.127006 0.296637 0.646968 1.306830 2.434762 4.420729
2026-02-01 0.040341 0.117199 0.285771 0.645544 1.341533 2.557154 4.736945
2026-02-08 0.035352 0.108801 0.276596 0.646218 1.379705 2.687235 5.072446
2026-02-15 0.030471 0.099594 0.264296 0.639013 1.402025 2.790365 5.366806
2026-02-22 0.027568 0.094982 0.261581 0.651265 1.462348 2.963949 5.791044
2026-03-01 0.023860 0.087266 0.250510 0.644295 1.483962 3.068252 6.098243
2026-03-08 0.021231 0.082069 0.244693 0.648094 1.527174 3.214192 6.486033
2026-03-15 0.018317 0.075249 0.233786 0.639085 1.543086 3.309491 6.786298
2026-03-22 0.017216 0.074023 0.237077 0.663244 1.630039 3.543976 7.351541
2026-03-29 0.016085 0.072432 0.239168 0.684693 1.712544 3.773772 7.917603